In a 2021 interview on the Tucker Carlson show, vice-presidential nominee JD Vance said that “we’re effectively run in this country, via the Democrats . . . by a bunch of childless cat ladies miserable at their own lives.” The resulting performative wrath over “childless cat ladies” is obscuring a trio of truths: ; it is re-making reality in ways that are ever more visible; and it raises once more the question of whether today’s radical atomization is transforming the world for good, or ill.

From shuttered kindergartens to perennially under-staffed nursing homes, the facts behind the theories of a “graying West” are ever more inescapable. As summer tourists in Europe will know, for example, there’s a new meaning to that phrase “the Old Country.” My family and I happened to visit Spain during the week of Orgullo Madrid, one of the largest annual Pride celebrations in the world. Across the city, men and women — mostly men — filled the streets, celebrating their freedom from social convention. And on those same streets, other people who are traditionally the fruits of social convention were conspicuously absent: babies and children.

The arithmetic of demographic freefall is simple. In Spain, which has the lowest European fertility rate outside Malta, women now bear their first child between the ages of 30 and 39. “We have provinces in Spain where for every baby born, more than two people die. And the ratio is moving closer to one to three,” explains one researcher. By 2050, the country is projected to have the highest percentage of elderly people in the world.

As in some other Western countries, dogs now outnumber children in households; in Madrid, there are more cats and dogs than children under 10. Across the map, materially advanced nations are shunning births at similar rates. In Japan, stuffed dolls substituting for absent humans have helped turn one vanishing village into a tourist attraction.

Once, human beings fled the presence of other, more dangerous species. Now, many are fleeing our own species. Is this a problem?

Though today’s partisan sniping pretends otherwise, political leaders of all stripes increasingly say yes. The shrinking tax base imposes new costs, including cuts in social services and rising ages for retirement. Hence President Macron in France has called for “demographic rearmament.” Other leaders across the spectrum agree. Meanwhile, because geriatric populations depend on younger workers, continuing immigration into the West seems all but inevitable, and with it, chronically inflamed domestic politics.

Many authorities agree that the birth dearth amounts to some kind of social problem. But what if it’s even worse than that? Consider the findings of so-called “happiness studies” across the West.

The “paradox of female unhappiness” has been studied in detail for over fifteen years. Surveys taken in different waves of time suggest that many women across the West are ever less content with their lives, even as what are said to be proxies for female happiness have improved (access to education, health advances, cheap and easy birth control).

….What is more likely to put a smile on that 80-year-old self: triceps that are the envy of a 60-year-old; or the uncalculated embrace of a grandchild?

By Mary Eberstadt in First Things