If California Lt. Gov. Gavin Newsom was expecting an easy race for the governor’s mansion, a poll released Thursday didn’t carry much in the way of good news.
While the statewide poll from Probolsky Research showed Newsom leading with 44 percent of respondents, his Republican opponent John Cox had 39 percent support; a further 17 percent of those polled were unsure whom they would support.
Cox, a relative newcomer to California politics, also claimed support well beyond his base among Californian registered Republicans, who make up fewer than a quarter of the state’s voters.
“We have always known that this is a real race,” Cox said on his campaign Facebook page.
While the poll found that “intensity of support is strong for both candidates,” Cox led in support among male and white voters, as well as voters aged 65 and older, while Newsom led in every other age group, as well as among female, black and Asian voters.
Hispanic voters split nearly evenly between the two candidates; 33.6 percent supported Cox while 34.5 percent supported Newsom.
The margin of error on the poll is 3.3 percent.
Full story at The Sacramento Bee.
I am going with John Cox on this one. How about you?
Yes, fingers crossed and prayers up.
Any twosome Newsom also leads in the poorly informed, vote based on feelings, identity politics demographic. He also leads in the small “c” catholic demographic. Newsom will win handily. This is California we’re talking about. Democrats run the state, and conservatives are a dying breed.
What were the prior poll numbers? Basis for claim ‘rising’.
Cox spent over twenty years running for offices in the Chicago area. Never even won a door prize.
A person who polls at 39% is not within 5% of winning, they are within 12 percent of winning.
You still around, YFC? I’ve missed your posts. Given all the news of late, I’ve been concerned about you, thinking that perhaps Fr Martin, S.J. had urged you to lay low for awhile.
They are lying low now instead of lying. Even Fr. Martin seems to realize it’s not a good idea for him to be out and proud at the present time.
Hahaha. Election fraud in California pretty much insures that nothing like this can happen. Good luck Mr. Cox. Everyone should pray and vote for him, too.
Dead people, multiple ballot casters, and illegal aliens are a large Democrat voting bloc in California.
Wishing this guy the best but it does not look good. Newsom seems to have a lock.
This guy needs to get super aggressive right away a la Donald Trump about the current real sad state of CA, and the truths about his opponent, or he is about to be beaten like a drum. 22%
This guy is the best the Republicans in California could put on the ballot? You telling me that no significant Republican in the state wanted to run for governor? Because they know it’s impossible for a Republican to be elected in that state for a statewide office?